News and Music Discovery
Play Live Radio
Next Up:
0:00
0:00
0:00 0:00
Available On Air Stations

Al Cross says Gov Race Recanvass Won't Change Much

LRC Public Information

State Agriculture Commissioner Jamie Comer is asking for a recanvass after he lost last night's primary to Louisville businessman Matt Bevin by only 83 votes. 

Al Cross, Director of the Institute for Rural Journalism and Community Issues doesn't anticipate a re-canvass will change the outcome of the state GOP contest. Cross says there's little doubt about the vote count, because it's almost entirely electronic.

"In the old days, it was much easier to transpose numbers, put them in different columns and so on, and lots of mistakes were uncovered."

Cross says that's not likely to be the case today.  He cites the 2010 central Kentucky congressional race in which a recanvass changed Ben Chandler's margin of victory over Andy Barr from 648 to 647.

Cross says yesterday's turnout appears to be a key factor in Bevin's success. 

"The conventional wisdom was that, because his voters were younger and appeared to be less interested in the race that he wouldn't measure up to what he had scored in polls.  But, he did."

Cross expects a post primary bounce in the polls to show Bevin within the margin of error in the fall race against democrat Jack Conway.  Still, Cross says the attorney general is the favorite because of his eight years in office, his record, and a higher democratic registration.

"Party identification in this state is slightly republican these days," said Cross. "But, that doesn't mean that Bevin is the favorite.  Conway is the favorite because people are still registered majority democratic, Conway's been in office for eight years, he's got a good record."

The state general election will be held on Nov. 3.  

Stu Johnson is a reporter/producer at WEKU in Lexington, Kentucky.
Related Content